Oncofusion

start / graph / breakpoint-kmt2a-partner-frequency-by-age-lineage

Breakpointstrong confidence 4 of 5: Replicated in peer-reviewed work by more than one group.Q2b-atlas2

Which partner, in which patient: KMT2A partner frequencies across six age-lineage strata

also called KMT2A partner distribution 2023 · recombinome partner frequency table

Which gene KMT2A gets stuck to depends strongly on how old the patient is and whether the leukemia is lymphoid or myeloid. This entry gives the exact patient counts for all six combinations, so that a figure can weight each fusion by how many children it actually affects.

The same thing, for a scientist

Primary counts from Meyer and colleagues' 3,401-patient DCAL cohort, replacing the 2013 review figures this graph has used until now. Infant ALL (n=987): AFF1 48.3%, MLLT1 24%, MLLT3 16%, MLLT10 6%, EPS15 2.2%, AFDN 0.3%. Infant AML (n=197): MLLT3 28.4%, MLLT10 27.4%, ELL 15.2%. Adult ALL (n=647) is overwhelmingly AFF1 at 82.7%. Six fusions cover 94.3% of all KMT2A-rearranged ALL; seven cover 84.8% of AML. The partner mix inverts almost completely between infant lymphoid and infant myeloid disease. **Counter-evidence pass, 2026-09-19.** Independent cohorts move these numbers by 6-12 absolute points and the direction is systematic. Karyotype-driven series put pediatric AML MLLT10 at 17.4% (n=1256) and 13% (n=756) against 23.4% here, with MLLT3 correspondingly higher - a resolution difference, since KMT2A::MLLT10 is cytogenetically cryptic in about a quarter of cases, so on this axis the DCAL figures are probably the better ones. Two disagreements are NOT explained that way: the prospective COG trial AALL0631 puts infant-ALL MLLT3 at 5% against 16% here while MLLT1 moves the other way (34% against 24%), and an RNA-seq cohort puts adult-ALL AFF1 at 71% rather than 82.7%. Every figure in this literature is a frequency among TYPED cases and the typed fraction ranges from 100% here to 70% elsewhere.

Go deeper
The six strata4 deeper

All counts from the same cohort 1. Percentages are of the stratum.

Infant ALL (n = 987) — AFF1 477 (48.3%), MLLT1 234 (24%), MLLT3 157 (16%), MLLT10 59 (6%), EPS15 22 (2.2%), AFDN 3 (0.3%), plus 15 other rearrangements.

Infant AML (n = 197) — MLLT3 56 (28.4%), MLLT10 54 (27.4%), ELL 30 (15.2%), AFDN 3 (1.5%), AFF1 3 (1.5%), EPS15 2 (1.0%), MLLT1 2 (1.0%), plus 16 other.

Pediatric ALL (n = 530) — AFF1 215 (40.6%), MLLT1 100 (18.9%), MLLT3 91 (17.2%), AFDN 31 (5.8%), MLLT10 17 (3.2%), EPS15 8 (1.5%), plus 26 other.

Pediatric AML (n = 465) — MLLT3 170 (36.6%), MLLT10 109 (23.4%), AFDN 42 (9.0%), ELL 32 (6.7%), MLLT1 28 (6.0%), KMT2A-PTD 7 (1.5%), EPS15 5 (1.1%), AFF1 1 (0.2%), plus 28 other.

Adult ALL (n = 647) — AFF1 535 (82.7%), MLLT1 66 (10.2%), AFDN 10 (1.5%), MLLT3 8 (1.2%), EPS15 4 (0.6%), MLLT10 3 (0.5%), ELL 1 (0.1%), KMT2A-PTD 1 (0.1%), plus 14 other.

Adult AML (n = 441) — KMT2A-PTD 113 (25.6%), MLLT3 108 (24.5%), ELL 51 (11.6%), AFDN 45 (10.2%), MLLT10 44 (10.0%), MLLT1 16 (3.6%), EPS15 7 (1.6%), AFF1 5 (1.1%), plus 25 other.

Across the whole cohort, six fusions cover 94.3% of KMT2A-rearranged ALL (AFF1, MLLT1, MLLT3, MLLT10, AFDN, EPS15) and seven cover 84.8% of AML 1.

Three things the table says that a partner list does not

The lineage inversion is near-total. AFF1 is 48.3% of infant ALL and 1.5% of infant AML. MLLT10 is 6% of infant ALL and 27.4% of infant AML. Same age, same 11q23 locus, opposite partner ranking. Whatever selects the partner is downstream of lineage, or lineage is downstream of partner — and the cohort cannot distinguish these.

Adult ALL is not a diluted version of infant ALL; it is more AFF1-concentrated, not less. AFF1 rises from 48.3% in infants to 82.7% in adults. The usual intuition that infant disease is the AFF1 disease is wrong as stated: infant disease is the heterogeneous one, adult KMT2A-rearranged ALL is much closer to monomorphic. Qualified 2026-09-19: the only independent adult comparator, an RNA-seq cohort spanning all ages, puts adult and elderly AFF1 at 71%, not 82.7% 6. The direction of the argument survives - adults really are far more AFF1-concentrated than infants - but the strength does not. At 83% an adult KMT2A-r ALL trial is effectively a KMT2A::AFF1 trial; at 71% nearly a third of it is something else. platform-one-asset-two-populations-menin should carry the range, not the point estimate.

EPS15 is not negligible in infants. At 2.2% of infant ALL (22 patients here) it is roughly as common as the entire 'other' category, and it is the fusion class where the mechanism is oligomerisation rather than elongation hijack. A menin inhibitor is expected to work partner-agnostically, but the one patient group where the partner mechanism is genuinely different is not vanishingly rare.

Why these numbers, not the 2013 ones

This graph's exemplar gene-kmt2a node carries infant partner percentages (AFF1 49%, MLLT1 22%, MLLT3 17%, MLLT10 5%) from a 2013 educational review 2. Those figures are close to the ones here, which is reassuring, but they are second-hand, they cover only two strata, and they are of the subset of cases with an identified partner rather than of all cases.

The numbers in this entry are primary, cover all six strata with explicit denominators, and come from genomic breakpoint sequencing rather than from cytogenetics or RT-PCR 1. Where the two disagree — most visibly MLLT10 at 6% versus 5% in infant ALL and AFDN appearing at all — the primary source should be preferred.

Both share the same limitation and it is not small. This is a referral cohort: samples arrive because a centre chose to send them for MRD-marker generation. Rarer partners are plausibly over-represented because they are the interesting ones, and any partner whose diagnosis is straightforward locally may be under-sent. These are not population incidence figures and should never be used as such - and no source that would give population incidence exists, because registries do not record fusion partner at all.

A correction to the preference rule stated above, added 2026-09-19. "The primary source should be preferred" is too simple, and the counter-evidence section below replaces it with something more useful. Where the disagreement is with a karyotype-based cohort and concerns a cryptic partner - MLLT10 above all - the molecular figures here are the better ones and the comparator is deflated 710. Where the disagreement is with a prospective trial on cytogenetically obvious partners - infant-ALL MLLT3 at 16% here versus 5% on COG AALL0631, with MLLT1 moving the opposite way - neither source is obviously right and the gap is unexplained 5. The rule is: ask what the comparator could not see before deciding which number to believe.

Counter-evidence: how far these numbers move between cohorts

Added 2026-09-19. Ranked by size of disagreement.

Stratum / partnerThis node (DCAL)Independent cohortGapWhy
Infant ALL, MLLT316%5% (8/146, COG AALL0631) 52.6-3.2xUnexplained
Infant ALL, MLLT124%34% (50/146) 5+10 ptsUnexplained, opposite direction
Infant ALL, AFF148.3%38% (55/146) 5-10 ptsdenominator includes 12% untyped
Pediatric AML, MLLT1023.4%17.4% (218/1256) 3; 13% (98/756) 4-6 to -10 ptskaryotype misses cryptic MLLT10 710
Pediatric AML, MLLT336.6%43.3% 3; 43% 4+7 ptsarithmetic mirror of the above
Adult ALL, AFF182.7%71% adult+elderly (Hartmann, RNA-seq) 6-12 ptsdifferent ascertainment and strata
Non-infant pediatric ALL, MLLT106% (infant)2.6% (14/530, Ponte-di-Legno) 9-karyotype again
Pediatric AML, AFDN9.0%7.3% 3; 5% 4-2 to -4 ptssame direction

Two of these have a mechanism and one does not.

The MLLT10 family of gaps is explained and the explanation favours this node's numbers. KMT2A::MLLT10 needs three or more chromosomal breaks and is routinely invisible to karyotype: 26% of cases in a dedicated FISH series had normal or uninformative chromosome studies with no abnormality of 10 or 11, and in a large COG AML series about a fifth of MLLT10-fusion cases had a reported cytogenetic band that does not even map to MLLT10 710. Molecular breakpoint cloning recovers those cases; band-reading does not. So where the karyotype cohorts and the DCAL cohort disagree about MLLT10, the honest reading is not that DCAL is inflated but that the karyotype cohorts are deflated - and the MLLT3 share moves in the opposite direction purely as a denominator effect.

The infant-ALL MLLT3/MLLT1 gap has no such story. MLLT3 at 16% versus 5%, with MLLT1 simultaneously at 24% versus 34%, cannot be a resolution effect, because both are cytogenetically obvious translocations and they move in opposite directions. Nor can the 12% partner-unknown fraction in AALL0631 close it. The plausible residual is population: a worldwide referral stream into one German centre against consecutive enrolment on a North American cooperative-group trial. Which is closer to truth for any given clinical question depends on which population the question is about, and neither is a population incidence.

The denominator problem, which applies to every row in this entry. A 'partner frequency' is always a frequency among cases in which a partner was successfully typed. That fraction is 100% here (molecular breakpoint cloning by design), 90% in van Weelderen, 88% in AALL0631, 84.3% in Attarbaschi, about 81% in Balgobind and 70% in a FISH-heavy adult series 8. Untyped cases are enriched for exactly the cryptic and complex rearrangements this node's rarest rows describe. Comparing any two of these tables percentage-to-percentage without stating the typed fraction is the commonest error in this literature.

One thing this entry should stop implying. Interfant is not an independent check. Interfant's KMT2A typing was done at the Frankfurt DCAL with the same authors, so it differs from the recombinome cohort in ascertainment only [E2 counter-evidence].

What did NOT move

Two premises were tested and survived, and saying so matters as much as the disagreements.

The age cut-off is not the explanation. Every prospective trial checked defines infant at about twelve months - Interfant at 365 days, AALL0631 at under 366 days - and no series using a 6-month or 24-month definition with its own partner table could be found. Moving the window to non-infant childhood (1-18 years, Ponte-di-Legno, n=629) raises AFF1 only from 48.3% to 51.5% 9. The discontinuity in this literature is at the infant/adult boundary and at the detection method, not at the infant cut-off.

Nobody has published a criticism of these frequencies. A systematic search found no paper that names and rebuts the DCAL referral-cohort figures, and the source paper does not discuss referral or selection bias in its partner-frequency reporting. The disagreement documented above is assembled by comparison, not quoted from a critic. This entry should not claim that Meyer's frequencies 'have been criticised'.

And no population-based estimate exists. No SEER-type or national-registry series reports KMT2A fusion partner at all; registries do not capture it. So the warning already in this entry - that these are not population incidence figures - cannot currently be remedied from any source.

Facts and figures
geneKMT2A
cytoband11q23.3
population3,401 genomically characterised KMT2A-rearranged acute leukemia patients, DCAL Frankfurt, samples accrued 2003-2022 from 20 countries
source typereferral cohort — NOT population incidence
age cutoff checkNOT a driver of the disagreements. Interfant uses <=365 days and COG AALL0631 <366 days; no series using a 6-month or 24-month infant definition with its own partner table was found. Moving to the non-infant childhood window (1-18 y, Ponte-di-Legno n=629, PMID 36256911) raises AFF1 only from 48.3% to 51.5% and drops MLLT10 to 2.6% (14/530).
no published critiqueNo paper names and rebuts the DCAL referral-cohort frequencies, and the source does not discuss referral bias in its partner-frequency reporting. The disagreement recorded here is assembled by comparison with independent cohorts, not quoted from a critic. Do not write that these frequencies 'have been criticised'.
no population estimateNo SEER-type or national-registry series reports KMT2A fusion partner; registries do not capture it. The warning that these are not population incidence figures cannot currently be remedied from any source.
interfant not independentInterfant KMT2A typing was performed at the Frankfurt DCAL with Meyer C and Marschalek R as co-authors. Interfant differs from the recombinome cohort in ascertainment only, not in method, and is not an independent check on partner frequency.
strata
infant AML197.0infant AML: 197adult AML441.0adult AML: 441pediatric AML465.0pediatric AML: 465pediatric ALL530.0pediatric ALL: 530adult ALL647.0adult ALL: 647infant ALL987.0infant ALL: 987
independent cohort comparison
pediatric AML9.000pediatric AML: 9infant ALL16.0infant ALL: 16pediatric AML23.4pediatric AML: 23.4pediatric AML23.4pediatric AML: 23.4infant ALL24.0infant ALL: 24pediatric AML36.6pediatric AML: 36.6infant ALL48.3infant ALL: 48.3adult ALL82.7adult ALL: 82.7
age classes
{
  "infant": "<= 12 months",
  "pediatric": "> 12 months to 18 years",
  "adult": "> 18 years"
}
strata — the numbers behind the chart
[
  {
    "stratum": "infant ALL",
    "n": 987,
    "partners": [
      {
        "partner": "AFF1",
        "n": 477,
        "pct": 48.3
      },
      {
        "partner": "MLLT1",
        "n": 234,
        "pct": 24
      },
      {
        "partner": "MLLT3",
        "n": 157,
        "pct": 16
      },
      {
        "partner": "MLLT10",
        "n": 59,
        "pct": 6
      },
      {
        "partner": "EPS15",
        "n": 22,
        "pct": 2.2
      },
      {
        "partner": "AFDN",
        "n": 3,
        "pct": 0.3
      }
    ],
    "other_rearrangements": 15
  },
  {
    "stratum": "infant AML",
    "n": 197,
    "partners": [
      {
        "partner": "MLLT3",
        "n": 56,
        "pct": 28.4
      },
      {
        "partner": "MLLT10",
        "n": 54,
        "pct": 27.4
      },
      {
        "partner": "ELL",
        "n": 30,
        "pct": 15.2
      },
      {
        "partner": "AFDN",
        "n": 3,
        "pct": 1.5
      },
      {
        "partner": "AFF1",
        "n": 3,
        "pct": 1.5
      },
      {
        "partner": "EPS15",
        "n": 2,
        "pct": 1
      },
      {
        "partner": "MLLT1",
        "n": 2,
        "pct": 1
      }
    ],
    "other_rearrangements": 16
  },
  {
    "stratum": "pediatric ALL",
    "n": 530,
    "partners": [
      {
        "partner": "AFF1",
        "n": 215,
        "pct": 40.6
      },
      {
        "partner": "MLLT1",
        "n": 100,
        "pct": 18.9
      },
      {
        "partner": "MLLT3",
        "n": 91,
        "pct": 17.2
      },
      {
        "partner": "AFDN",
        "n": 31,
        "pct": 5.8
      },
      {
        "partner": "MLLT10",
        "n": 17,
        "pct": 3.2
      },
      {
        "partner": "EPS15",
        "n": 8,
        "pct": 1.5
      }
    ],
    "other_rearrangements": 26
  },
  {
    "stratum": "pediatric AML",
    "n": 465,
    "partners": [
      {
        "partner": "MLLT3",
        "n": 170,
        "pct": 36.6
      },
      {
        "partner": "MLLT10",
        "n": 109,
        "pct": 23.4
      },
      {
        "partner": "AFDN",
        "n": 42,
        "pct": 9
      },
      {
        "partner": "ELL",
        "n": 32,
        "pct": 6.7
      },
      {
        "partner": "MLLT1",
        "n": 28,
        "pct": 6
      },
      {
        "partner": "KMT2A-PTD",
        "n": 7,
        "pct": 1.5
      },
      {
        "partner": "EPS15",
        "n": 5,
        "pct": 1.1
      },
      {
        "partner": "AFF1",
        "n": 1,
        "pct": 0.2
      }
    ],
    "other_rearrangements": 28
  },
  {
    "stratum": "adult ALL",
    "n": 647,
    "partners": [
      {
        "partner": "AFF1",
        "n": 535,
        "pct": 82.7
      },
      {
        "partner": "MLLT1",
        "n": 66,
        "pct": 10.2
      },
      {
        "partner": "AFDN",
        "n": 10,
        "pct": 1.5
      },
      {
        "partner": "MLLT3",
        "n": 8,
        "pct": 1.2
      },
      {
        "partner": "EPS15",
        "n": 4,
        "pct": 0.6
      },
      {
        "partner": "MLLT10",
        "n": 3,
        "pct": 0.5
      },
      {
        "partner": "ELL",
        "n": 1,
        "pct": 0.1
      },
      {
        "partner": "KMT2A-PTD",
        "n": 1,
        "pct": 0.1
      }
    ],
    "other_rearrangements": 14
  },
  {
    "stratum": "adult AML",
    "n": 441,
    "partners": [
      {
        "partner": "KMT2A-PTD",
        "n": 113,
        "pct": 25.6
      },
      {
        "partner": "MLLT3",
        "n": 108,
        "pct": 24.5
      },
      {
        "partner": "ELL",
        "n": 51,
        "pct": 11.6
      },
      {
        "partner": "AFDN",
        "n": 45,
        "pct": 10.2
      },
      {
        "partner": "MLLT10",
        "n": 44,
        "pct": 10
      },
      {
        "partner": "MLLT1",
        "n": 16,
        "pct": 3.6
      },
      {
        "partner": "EPS15",
        "n": 7,
        "pct": 1.6
      },
      {
        "partner": "AFF1",
        "n": 5,
        "pct": 1.1
      }
    ],
    "other_rearrangements": 25
  }
]
coverage
{
  "all_lineage_top6_pct": 94.3,
  "all_lineage_top6": [
    "AFF1",
    "MLLT1",
    "MLLT3",
    "MLLT10",
    "AFDN",
    "EPS15"
  ],
  "aml_lineage_top7_pct": 84.8
}
whole cohort partner totals from spliced fusion denominators
{
  "AFF1": 1262,
  "MLLT3": 612,
  "MLLT1": 460,
  "AFDN": 138,
  "ELL": 119,
  "EPS15": 51,
  "note": "These are the denominators quoted in the same paper's spliced-fusion passage and are the cleanest whole-cohort partner totals available, because they do not depend on complete age annotation."
}
independent cohort comparison — the numbers behind the chart
[
  {
    "stratum": "infant ALL",
    "partner": "MLLT3",
    "dcal_pct": 16,
    "comparator_pct": 5,
    "comparator": "COG AALL0631 (PMID 33623141), 8/146",
    "gap_note": "2.6-3.2x relative; UNEXPLAINED by detection method"
  },
  {
    "stratum": "infant ALL",
    "partner": "MLLT1",
    "dcal_pct": 24,
    "comparator_pct": 34,
    "comparator": "COG AALL0631 (PMID 33623141), 50/146",
    "gap_note": "opposite direction to MLLT3, so not a single global bias"
  },
  {
    "stratum": "infant ALL",
    "partner": "AFF1",
    "dcal_pct": 48.3,
    "comparator_pct": 38,
    "comparator": "COG AALL0631 (PMID 33623141), 55/146",
    "gap_note": "denominator includes 12% untyped"
  },
  {
    "stratum": "pediatric AML",
    "partner": "MLLT10",
    "dcal_pct": 23.4,
    "comparator_pct": 17.4,
    "comparator": "BFM international (PMID 38621200), 218/1256",
    "gap_note": "karyotype misses cryptic MLLT10"
  },
  {
    "stratum": "pediatric AML",
    "partner": "MLLT10",
    "dcal_pct": 23.4,
    "comparator_pct": 13,
    "comparator": "Balgobind (PMID 19528532), 98/756",
    "gap_note": "half the cohort karyotype-only; 19% partner unassigned"
  },
  {
    "stratum": "pediatric AML",
    "partner": "MLLT3",
    "dcal_pct": 36.6,
    "comparator_pct": 43.3,
    "comparator": "BFM international (PMID 38621200), 544/1256",
    "gap_note": "arithmetic mirror of the MLLT10 gap"
  },
  {
    "stratum": "adult ALL",
    "partner": "AFF1",
    "dcal_pct": 82.7,
    "comparator_pct": 71,
    "comparator": "Hartmann RNA-seq (PMID 41743263), adult+elderly within n=321",
    "gap_note": "different strata (18-54, 55+) and denominator; qualification not refutation"
  },
  {
    "stratum": "pediatric AML",
    "partner": "AFDN",
    "dcal_pct": 9,
    "comparator_pct": 7.3,
    "comparator": "BFM international (PMID 38621200), 92/1256",
    "gap_note": "same direction, small"
  }
]
typed fraction by cohort
{
  "DCAL recombinome (this node)": "100% by design (molecular breakpoint cloning)",
  "van Weelderen BFM (PMID 38621200)": "90% (126/1256 in KMT2A-other)",
  "COG AALL0631 (PMID 33623141)": "88% (18/146 partner unknown)",
  "Attarbaschi Ponte-di-Legno (PMID 36256911)": "84.3%",
  "Balgobind (PMID 19528532)": "~81% (143/756 in MLL-other)",
  "Shen adult/AYA AML (PMID 41681872)": "70% (54/181 FISH only)",
  "note": "Untyped cases are NOT missing at random - they are enriched for cryptic and complex rearrangements, i.e. the MLLT10 and rare-partner end of the distribution. Any cross-cohort comparison must state the typed fraction."
}
cryptic mllt10
{
  "fish_series": "10/38 (26%) of KMT2A/MLLT10 cases with conventional chromosome studies had karyotypes with no structural or numeric abnormality of chromosome 10 or 11 (PMID 30707474, n=60)",
  "cog_series": "of 127 MLLT10-fusion cases in 2080 patients, only ~2/3 were confirmed by both RNA-seq and karyotype, and in a further ~20% the reported cytogenetic band did not map to MLLT10 (PMID 38306602)",
  "implication": "Where this node and karyotype-based cohorts disagree about MLLT10, the karyotype cohorts are probably the deflated ones. The DCAL figures should be described as the molecular-complete-ascertainment estimate."
}
counter evidence pass
{
  "queen": "Q2b-atlas2",
  "cycle": 31,
  "date": "2026-09-19",
  "checked": [
    "All nine new PMIDs fetched from NCBI and titles/authors/journals read back before citing",
    "van Weelderen PMID 38621200 full text (PMC11225675)",
    "Balgobind PMID 19528532 full text (PMC2927031, rendered page)",
    "Brown AALL0631 PMID 33623141 full text (PMC8763141)",
    "Attarbaschi PMID 36256911 abstract",
    "Hartmann PMID 41743263 full text (PMC12931199)",
    "Peterson PMID 30707474 abstract",
    "Abla PMID 38306602 full text (PMC11024924)",
    "Shen PMID 41681872 full text (PMC12896996)",
    "Attarbaschi PMID 36256911 abstract"
  ]
}
confidence by stratum
{
  "infant ALL": "moderate - MLLT3 and MLLT1 disagree with the prospective COG trial by 10-11 points in opposite directions, with no mechanistic explanation",
  "infant AML": "moderate - n=197 and no independent comparator of the same stratum was found",
  "pediatric ALL": "strong",
  "pediatric AML": "strong for MLLT10 (the karyotype comparators are the deflated ones); moderate for MLLT3, whose share moves as a denominator effect",
  "adult ALL": "moderate - the 82.7% AFF1 figure is 12 points above the only independent RNA-seq comparator",
  "adult AML": "moderate - the one independent comparator (PMID 41681872) has a 30% untyped fraction, so it constrains little"
}
How this could bite us back
  • These are referral-cohort frequencies. Using them to size a trial or to estimate addressable population will overstate rarer partners and understate the commonest ones, in an unknown direction per partner.
  • The near-monomorphic adult ALL distribution makes adult trials cheap to run and tempting to extrapolate from. But an 82.7%-AFF1 adult population is not a model for a 48.3%-AFF1 infant population, and reading adult menin-inhibitor data straight across to infants imports that mismatch silently.
  • Reading these frequencies across cohorts without matching the typed fraction will systematically understate cryptic partners. A trial sized on karyotype-derived MLLT10 frequency would under-enrol the group in which the fusion is hardest to find and easiest to miss at relapse.
Still open
  1. Adult KMT2A-rearranged ALL is 82.7% AFF1 while infant is 48.3%. Is that a biological difference in which translocations survive to adulthood, or a referral artefact in which unusual adult partners are diagnosed elsewhere? The distinction changes how much an adult trial can be read as evidence for infants.
  2. What selects the partner by lineage? AFF1 and MLLT10 almost exactly swap ranks between infant ALL and infant AML. If 3D genome proximity in the cell of origin is the explanation, the ranking should be predictable from Hi-C in fetal pro-B versus myeloid progenitors, which nobody appears to have checked.
  3. EPS15 at 2.2% of infant ALL is the one common-enough infant fusion whose mechanism is oligomerisation rather than elongation hijack. Do those patients respond to menin inhibition like the others? If not, a partner-agnostic claim quietly has an exception at a rate of about one in 45 infants.
  4. Why is infant-ALL MLLT3 16% in a worldwide referral cohort and 5% on a North American cooperative-group trial, while MLLT1 moves the other way? Neither cryptic detection nor the untyped fraction explains it. If it is genuinely geographic, it is the most interesting unexplained fact in this entry and it bears directly on whether a North American infant trial's partner mix generalises.
  5. Is adult KMT2A-rearranged ALL 83% AFF1 or 71%? One number makes an adult trial effectively a single-fusion trial and the other does not. Resolving it needs an adult cohort with complete molecular typing, which nobody has published.
Every source behind this entry (10)
  1. E1established confidence 5 of 5: Multiple independent lines of evidence; treated as settled in the field.paper

    In 3,401 genomically characterised KMT2A-rearranged patients, partner frequencies are: infant ALL (n=987) AFF1 477/48.3%, MLLT1 234/24%, MLLT3 157/16%, MLLT10 59/6%, EPS15 22/2.2%, AFDN 3/0.3%; infant AML (n=197) MLLT3 56/28.4%, MLLT10 54/27.4%, ELL 30/15.2%, AFDN 3/1.5%, AFF1 3/1.5%, EPS15 2/1.0%, MLLT1 2/1.0%; pediatric ALL (n=530) AFF1 215/40.6%, MLLT1 100/18.9%, MLLT3 91/17.2%, AFDN 31/5.8%, MLLT10 17/3.2%, EPS15 8/1.5%; pediatric AML (n=465) MLLT3 170/36.6%, MLLT10 109/23.4%, AFDN 42/9.0%, ELL 32/6.7%, MLLT1 28/6.0%, KMT2A-PTD 7/1.5%, EPS15 5/1.1%, AFF1 1/0.2%; adult ALL (n=647) AFF1 535/82.7%, MLLT1 66/10.2%, AFDN 10/1.5%, MLLT3 8/1.2%, EPS15 4/0.6%, MLLT10 3/0.5%, ELL 1/0.1%, KMT2A-PTD 1/0.1%; adult AML (n=441) KMT2A-PTD 113/25.6%, MLLT3 108/24.5%, ELL 51/11.6%, AFDN 45/10.2%, MLLT10 44/10.0%, MLLT1 16/3.6%, EPS15 7/1.6%, AFF1 5/1.1%. Six fusions account for 94.3% of ALL and seven for 84.8% of AML.

    The KMT2A recombinome of acute leukemias in 2023. · Meyer C, Larghero P, Almeida Lopes B, Burmeister T, Gröger D, Sutton R, Venn NC, Cazzaniga G, Corral Abascal L, Tsaur G, Fechina L, Emerenciano M, Pombo-de-Oliveira MS, et al., Marschalek R · Leukemia 37:988-1005 2023
    What this evidence cannot show

    A referral-based cohort accrued 2003-2022 at the Frankfurt DCAL from centres in 20 countries; samples are sent specifically to obtain genomic fusion sequences for MRD monitoring, so partner frequencies reflect referral behaviour rather than population incidence, and rarer partners are plausibly over-represented. 43 patients could not be age-classified and 57 lacked gender data and are excluded from stratum denominators. Percentages as published do not always sum to 100 within a stratum because of the 'other rearrangements' remainder. Counts were read from the PMC full text (PMC10169636) on 2026-09-18, including the italicised gene symbols, because a plain-text rendering of the same article had the gene names stripped.

    Evidence that argues against this (6)
    • PEDIATRIC AML, MLLT10 and MLLT3. Two independent international karyotype-based cohorts put MLLT10 well below the DCAL figure of 23.4%: 17.4% (218/1256) and 13% (98/756), with MLLT3 correspondingly higher at 43.3% and 43% against 36.6%. The two errors are arithmetic mirrors of each other, which is the signature of a resolution difference rather than a sampling difference - when cryptic MLLT10 is recovered molecularly, the cytogenetically obvious t(9;11) share is diluted. van Weelderen RE et al. 2024
    • THE MECHANISM, quantified. KMT2A::MLLT10 requires three or more breaks and is frequently invisible to karyotype: 26% of cases with conventional chromosome studies had no abnormality of chromosome 10 or 11 at all, and in a large COG AML series about 20% of MLLT10-fusion cases had a reported cytogenetic band that does not map to MLLT10. That makes the DCAL figures the molecular-complete-ascertainment estimate and the karyotype cohorts systematically shifted toward legible partners - so on this axis the DCAL numbers are probably the better ones, and this node should say so rather than leaving the disagreement unexplained. Peterson JF et al. 2019
    • INFANT ALL - and this one does NOT have a cryptic-partner explanation. The prospective COG trial AALL0631 gives MLLT3 at 5% (8/146; about 6% of typed cases) against the DCAL 16%, a 2.6 to 3.2-fold relative gap and the largest single-partner discrepancy found. MLLT1 moves the other way, 34% against 24%. AFF1 is 38% against 48.3%. Because MLLT3 and MLLT1 move in opposite directions, a single global bias cannot explain it, and the 12% partner-unknown fraction cannot close the MLLT3 gap. This is the disagreement that warrants a confidence downgrade on the infant ALL stratum specifically. Brown PA et al. 2021
    • ADULT ALL. The claim that adult KMT2A-rearranged ALL is 82.7% AFF1 is the single number in this node most worth flagging. An RNA-seq cohort spanning all ages puts AFF1 at 69% overall and 71% in adult plus elderly patients - about twelve absolute points lower. The denominators are not identical (321 in the cross-tabulation, and 18-54 / 55+ strata rather than a single adult class), so this is a qualification rather than a refutation, but the downstream argument in `platform-one-asset-two-populations-menin` that an adult KMT2A-r ALL trial is effectively a KMT2A::AFF1 trial is weaker at 71% than at 83%. Hartmann AM et al. 2026
    • THE STRUCTURAL POINT that applies to every row. These are frequencies among TYPED cases, and the typed fraction ranges from 100% (DCAL, molecular breakpoint cloning) through 90%, 88%, 84.3% and 81% down to 70% in a FISH-heavy adult series. Untyped cases are not missing at random; they are enriched for cryptic and complex rearrangements. No two of these tables share a denominator definition, and comparing them percentage-to-percentage without saying so is the commonest way this literature is misread. Shen H et al. 2026
    • AGE CUT-OFF IS NOT THE EXPLANATION. Every prospective trial checked defines infant consistently at about 12 months (Interfant 365 days, AALL0631 under 366 days), and moving to the non-infant childhood window (1-18 years, Ponte-di-Legno n=629) moves AFF1 only from 48.3% to 51.5% while MLLT10 falls to 2.6% (14/530) - again the karyotype signature. The discontinuity in this literature sits at the infant/adult boundary and at the detection method, not at the 6-versus-12-versus-24-month cut-off. Attarbaschi A et al. 2023
  2. E2moderate confidence 3 of 5: One strong study, or several smaller consistent ones.review

    An earlier widely used source gives infant lymphoblastic leukemia partner frequencies as AFF1 about 49%, MLLT1 about 22%, MLLT3 about 17% and MLLT10 about 5%, and infant myeloid as MLLT10 about 27%, MLLT3 about 22% and ELL about 17%.

    Treatment of infant leukemias: challenge and promise · Brown P · Hematology Am Soc Hematol Educ Program 2013:596-600 2013
    What this evidence cannot show

    A 2013 educational review, therefore secondary; the percentages are of the subset of cases with an identified partner (93% of infant ALL, 66% of infant AML), not of all cases, which makes them not directly comparable to the denominators in [E1]. Included here for cross-checking, not as an independent replication — both sources ultimately draw on overlapping referral networks.

    Evidence that argues against this (1)
    • A caveat this node should carry about its own strongest apparent corroborator: Interfant KMT2A typing was performed at the Frankfurt DCAL, with Meyer C and Marschalek R as co-authors of the Interfant MRD papers. Interfant therefore differs from the DCAL recombinome cohort in ascertainment only, not in method, and is not an independent check on the partner frequencies. The genuinely independent comparators are the karyotype-based cohorts (van Weelderen, Balgobind, Attarbaschi) and the RNA-seq cohorts (Hartmann, Abla). Brown PA et al. 2021
  3. E3strong confidence 4 of 5: Replicated in peer-reviewed work by more than one group.paper

    In 1,256 children with KMT2A-rearranged AML assembled by the International BFM Study Group from 15 collaborative groups (2005-2016, central karyotype review), the partner mix is KMT2A::MLLT3 n=544 (43.3%), KMT2A::MLLT10 n=218 (17.4%), KMT2A::AFDN n=92 (7.3%) and KMT2A::ELL n=75 (6.0%) - MLLT10 six points LOWER and MLLT3 seven points HIGHER than the DCAL pediatric AML stratum of 36.6% / 23.4%.

    Optimized cytogenetic risk-group stratification of KMT2A-rearranged pediatric acute myeloid leukemia · van Weelderen RE, Harrison CJ, Klein K, Jiang Y, et al., Zwaan CM, Kaspers GJL · Blood Adv 8:3200-3213 2024
    What this evidence cannot show

    FULL TEXT read (PMC11225675). This is a karyotype-driven cohort: group assignment is by centrally reviewed cytogenetic band, and fusions present in fewer than ten patients were left in a 'KMT2A-other' bin (n=126, 10.0%). Karyotype cannot see cryptic KMT2A::MLLT10 insertions, so the direction of the disagreement is exactly what a detection-method difference predicts. Only 56 of 1,256 had incomplete karyotypes, so this is not a coverage problem - it is a resolution problem.

    Evidence that argues against this (1)
    • A karyotype-defined cohort cannot see the partner it is being scored against. Transcriptome profiling of 2,080 children and young adults with acute myeloid leukaemia on COG AAML0531 and AAML1031 found 127 MLLT10 fusions (6.1%), 104 of them KMT2A::MLLT10 - a resolution central karyotype review cannot reach. The six-point MLLT10 deficit and the mirror-image MLLT3 excess in this 1,256-patient karyotype cohort are exactly what a detection difference predicts, so the disagreement is evidence about assays rather than about two populations differing. Abla O et al. 2024
  4. E4strong confidence 4 of 5: Replicated in peer-reviewed work by more than one group.paper

    An earlier fully independent international pediatric AML series (11 collaborative groups, 1993-2005, n=756 children with 11q23/MLL-rearranged AML) gives t(9;11) 328 (43%) and t(10;11)(p12;q23) only 98 (13%) - roughly half the DCAL MLLT10 figure - with 143 patients (19%) unassignable to a partner. Half the cohort (376/756) was evaluated by conventional cytogenetics alone.

    Novel prognostic subgroups in childhood 11q23/MLL-rearranged acute myeloid leukemia: results of an international retrospective study · Balgobind BV, Raimondi SC, Harbott J, Zimmermann M, Alonzo TA, et al., Zwaan CM, van den Heuvel-Eibrink MM · Blood 114:2489-2496 2009
    What this evidence cannot show

    FULL TEXT read (PMC2927031); note that the PubMed full-text tool returned an empty body for this PMCID and the numbers were read from the rendered PMC page. The 19% 'MLL-other' bin is the key limitation and is not missing at random - it is enriched for exactly the cryptic and complex rearrangements that drive the disagreement.

    Evidence that argues against this (1)
    • The gap is not an epoch effect. The same LDI-PCR series, in its 2013 edition at n=1590 and therefore contemporaneous with this cohort's 1993-2005 accrual, already placed MLLT10/AF10 among the seven rearrangements accounting for about 90% of all KMT2A rearrangements. MLLT10 was not becoming commoner between the two series; what changed was how many cases were characterised molecularly rather than by conventional cytogenetics, which half this cohort was not. Meyer C et al. 2013
  5. E5strong confidence 4 of 5: Replicated in peer-reviewed work by more than one group.paper

    In the prospective North American phase 3 infant ALL trial AALL0631 (109 institutions, enrolment 2008-2014, age under 366 days, central cytogenetics and FISH review), among 146 KMT2A-rearranged infants the partner mix is AFF1 55 (38%), MLLT1 50 (34%), MLLT3 8 (5%), MLLT10 6 (4%), other 9 (6%) and partner unknown 18 (12%) - against the DCAL infant ALL stratum of AFF1 48.3%, MLLT1 24%, MLLT3 16%, MLLT10 6%.

    FLT3 inhibitor lestaurtinib plus chemotherapy for newly diagnosed KMT2A-rearranged infant acute lymphoblastic leukemia: Children's Oncology Group trial AALL0631 · Brown PA, Kairalla JA, Hilden JM, Dreyer ZE, Carroll AJ, Heerema NA, et al., Loh ML, Hunger SP · Leukemia 35:1279-1290 2021
    What this evidence cannot show

    FULL TEXT read (PMC8763141); gene symbols were stripped from the PMC text extraction and were recovered from the rendered page, the same failure mode this node already documents for the DCAL numbers. This is a treated trial population, not a diagnostic series, so eligibility criteria shape it. 12% have no partner assigned; even if every one of those were MLLT3 the ceiling would be 17%, and the point estimate among typed cases is about 6%, so the MLLT3 gap is not an artefact of the unknowns. MLLT1 moves in the OPPOSITE direction to MLLT3, which rules out a single global bias.

    Evidence that argues against this (1)
    • A single national trial's partner mix is shaped by who reaches that trial, and the contemporaneous international trial had a visibly different population. Interfant-06 enrolled 651 infants across 18 national and international groups over an overlapping period and reported 6-year event-free survival of 46.1%, with 6-year EFS 10-12 percentage points higher in West European and North American groups than elsewhere. Two infant trials whose outcomes differ that much by geography are not interchangeable denominators for a partner frequency, and AALL0631's 146 KMT2A-rearranged infants are a subset of one arm of that landscape. Pieters R et al. 2019
  6. E6moderate confidence 3 of 5: One strong study, or several smaller consistent ones.paper

    In an RNA-sequencing-based cohort of KMT2A-rearranged B-ALL spanning one month to 89 years, AFF1 is 69% overall (221/321) and 71% in adult and elderly patients against 48% in infant and pediatric patients - materially below the 82.7% the DCAL cohort reports for adult ALL.

    Intra-subtype heterogeneity shapes treatment response in KMT2A-rearranged ALL across all age groups · Hartmann AM, Bastian L, Barz MJ, Haas J, Amelunxen E, et al., Cario G, Baldus CD · Hemasphere 10:e70324 2026
    What this evidence cannot show

    FULL TEXT read (PMC12931199); gene symbols stripped by the extractor and recovered from the rendered page. CAUTION ON DENOMINATORS: the cohort is 465 patients, 436 had fusion data, and 321 is the set used for the age-by-partner cross-tabulation, so the 71% is adult plus elderly combined within that 321, not a figure on 465. The age strata (18-54 and 55+) also do not match the DCAL definition of adult. Very recent (2026) and not yet independently confirmed.

    Evidence that argues against this (1)
    • The numeric disagreement runs the other way too, and at least one of the two figures is not a partner frequency in the sense the other means. The DCAL adult ALL stratum is 647 patients with AFF1 in 535 of them, 82.7%, against 71% for adult-plus-elderly in the RNA-sequencing cohort - a 12-point gap between two molecularly typed series. Because the RNA-seq figure is computed on the 321 patients used for the age-by-partner cross-tabulation rather than on all 465, and its age strata (18-54, 55+) do not match the DCAL definition of adult, the comparison is between differently defined quantities before any biology is invoked. Meyer C et al. 2023
  7. E7strong confidence 4 of 5: Replicated in peer-reviewed work by more than one group.paper

    KMT2A::MLLT10 is frequently cryptic, which is the mechanism behind the pediatric AML disagreement: in a 10-year single-laboratory series of 60 patients with KMT2A/MLLT10 fusion detected by dual-colour dual-fusion FISH, 10 of 38 (26%) with conventional chromosome studies had karyotypes lacking any structural or numeric abnormality of chromosome 10 or 11, implying cryptic cytogenetic mechanisms.

    Acute leukemias harboring KMT2A/MLLT10 fusion: a 10-year experience from a single genomics laboratory · Peterson JF, Sukov WR, Pitel BA, Smoley SA, Pearce KE, Meyer RG, Williamson CM, Smadbeck JB, Vasmatzis G, Hoppman NL, Greipp PT, Baughn LB, Ketterling RP · Genes Chromosomes Cancer 58:567-577 2019
    What this evidence cannot show

    ABSTRACT ONLY (no PMC deposit). n=60, single laboratory, cases referred for a dedicated dual-fusion FISH assay, so the series is itself ascertained and the 26% is a rate within referred KMT2A/MLLT10 cases, not a population rate. Corroborated independently by E10.

    Evidence that argues against this (1)
    • A FISH assay that scores KMT2A/MLLT10 fusion cannot see the part of the MLLT10 landscape that is not KMT2A. Among 127 MLLT10 fusions identified by transcriptome profiling in 2,080 COG AML patients, only 104 (81.9%) were KMT2A::MLLT10; 13 were PICALM::MLLT10 and 10 were other partners (DDX3X, TEC, DDX3Y, CEP164, SCN2B, TREH, NAP1L1, XPO1). A 26% cryptic rate measured inside a series referred for a dedicated dual-fusion assay is therefore a rate within a doubly selected population and does not transfer to MLLT10 rearrangements generally. Abla O et al. 2024
  8. E8strong confidence 4 of 5: Replicated in peer-reviewed work by more than one group.paper

    Every published KMT2A partner frequency is a frequency among cases in which a partner was successfully typed, and the typed fraction varies enormously between series: 100% in the DCAL molecular cohort, 90% in van Weelderen, 88% in AALL0631, 84.3% in Attarbaschi, about 81% in Balgobind and 70% in a 181-patient adult/AYA series where 54 of 181 (29.8%) had FISH only.

    Impact of Fusion Partners and Transplantation Benefit in Intensively Treated KMT2A-Rearranged Acute Myeloid Leukemia · Shen H, Chen J, Gong X, Zhou C, Lin D, et al., Fang Q, Wei H · Cancers (Basel) 18:401 2026
    What this evidence cannot show

    FULL TEXT read (PMC12896996) for the 181-patient figure; the other typed fractions are from the papers cited elsewhere in this node. Single-centre Chinese adult/AYA cohort, median age 33, so it is not directly comparable to the DCAL adult stratum on case mix. The general point is the important one: cases that fail typing are NOT missing at random - they are enriched for cryptic and complex rearrangements, which is the MLLT10 and rare-partner end of the distribution.

    Evidence that argues against this (1)
    • Where unselected RNA sequencing is applied, the untyped fraction largely disappears and the heterogeneity moves somewhere else entirely. In 175 infants with B-cell precursor ALL typed by karyotyping, FISH and RNA-seq, 33 (17.7%) had no KMT2A rearrangement at all and were instead NUTM1-rearranged (n=9) or PAX5-rearranged (n=10). The same cohort found no survival difference by KMT2A partner gene - KMT2A::AFF1 2-year EFS 36% against 37% for all other partners, p = 0.9 - so the clinical stake in the typed-fraction problem is smaller than the emphasis on partner frequencies implies. Ilyasova K et al. 2025
  9. E9strong confidence 4 of 5: Replicated in peer-reviewed work by more than one group.paper

    Moving the age window from infant to non-infant childhood barely changes the AFF1 share but collapses MLLT10: in 629 children aged 1-18 with 11q23/KMT2A-rearranged ALL from 17 study groups (1995-2010), a partner was identified in 84.3%, and among the 530 typed cases t(4;11)/AFF1 is 273 (51.5%), t(11;19)(q23;p13.3) 106 (20.0%), t(9;11) 76 (14.3%), t(6;11)/AFDN 20 (3.8%) and t(10;11)(p12;q23)/MLLT10 only 14 (2.6%).

    Outcomes of Childhood Noninfant Acute Lymphoblastic Leukemia With 11q23/KMT2A Rearrangements in a Modern Therapy Era: A Retrospective International Study · Attarbaschi A, Möricke A, Harrison CJ, Mann G, Baruchel A, et al., Schrappe M, Zimmermann M · J Clin Oncol 41:1404-1422 2023
    What this evidence cannot show

    ABSTRACT ONLY (all quoted numbers are in the abstract). Karyotype-based partner assignment with 15.7% of patients having no identifiable partner at all, so the 2.6% MLLT10 is the clearest karyotype-driven undercount in the lymphoid strata. Cited here to test whether the infant age cut-off explains the cross-cohort disagreements - it does not.

    Evidence that argues against this (1)
    • The molecular series disagrees with this karyotype-based one on the same age group, in both directions. In the DCAL cohort the paediatric ALL stratum (n=530) is AFF1 215 (40.6%) and MLLT1 100 (18.9%), against 51.5% and 20.0% among the 530 typed cases here. An eleven-point AFF1 gap between two cohorts of almost identical size in the same age band, with 15.7% of this one's patients having no identifiable partner, means the low MLLT10 figure cannot be interpreted without knowing where the untyped cases went. Meyer C et al. 2023
  10. E10strong confidence 4 of 5: Replicated in peer-reviewed work by more than one group.paper

    Independent corroboration that MLLT10 rearrangement escapes karyotype: among 127 MLLT10-fusion cases identified by RNA sequencing in 2,080 children and young adults with AML on COG trials AAML0531 and AAML1031, only about two-thirds had confirmatory evidence from both RNA sequencing and karyotype, and in a further ~20% of cases the cytogenetic band reported for the fusion did not map to MLLT10 at all; 104 of the 127 were KMT2A::MLLT10.

    Structural variants involving MLLT10 fusion are associated with adverse outcomes in pediatric acute myeloid leukemia · Abla O, Ries RE, Triche T, Gerbing RB, Hirsch B, Raimondi S, Cooper T, Farrar JE, Buteyn N, Harmon LM, Wen H, Deshpande AJ, Kolb EA, Gamis AS, Aplenc R, Alonzo T, Meshinchi S · Blood Adv 8:2005-2017 2024
    What this evidence cannot show

    FULL TEXT read (PMC11024924). IMPORTANT LIMIT: the paper does not state how many of the 2,080 patients were KMT2A-rearranged, so NO KMT2A::MLLT10 share of KMT2A-r can be computed from it and none is claimed here. The ~2/3 and ~20% figures are the paper's own approximations, not exact counts.

    Evidence that argues against this (1)
    • An MLLT10-centred series measures a partner-gene population, not a KMT2A one, and the non-KMT2A fraction is biologically distinct rather than noise. CALM-AF10 (PICALM::MLLT10) T-cell ALL has its own expression programme - HOXA5, HOXA9, HOXA10 and BMI1 overexpression, with BMI1 elevated only in CALM-AF10 and not in MLL-translocated leukaemia. So the 23 of 127 MLLT10 fusions that are not KMT2A::MLLT10 are a different disease sharing a gene, and the karyotype-versus-RNA-seq concordance figures quoted here are properties of MLLT10 detection, which is what this item claims, but they cannot be converted into a KMT2A-r partner share. Dik WA et al. 2005
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