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Analysisweak confidence 2 of 5: Preliminary, small, indirect, or not yet peer reviewed.king

Of the menin co-dependencies, which are actually safe to hit? (run)

also called target safety triage · therapeutic window screen

**SUPERSEDED (found cycle 158). Do not act on this entry's safety verdicts — read `ana-target-safety-triage-v2` instead.** This version passed **DPY30** as safe to hit using a constraint statistic (LOEUF) computed from too few expected loss-of-function variants to mean anything. v2 gates that statistic on gnomAD's expected-LoF count, treats a reassuring LOEUF at low power as **absence of evidence rather than evidence of absence**, and finds that only **LEDGF and FLT3** earn an unqualified pass. --- Knowing the leukemia needs a protein is only half the question; the other half is whether healthy tissue needs it too. We joined three public datasets for the ten genes that passed our earlier test, and only three came through without a warning flag.

The same thing, for a scientist

> 🔴 **SUPERSEDED by `ana-target-safety-triage-v2`; this entry's DPY30 pass is withdrawn.** The LOEUF behind it rests on an expected-LoF count too small to interpret, so the reassuring value is low power, not tolerance. v2 rebuilds the screen with that gate and only LEDGF and FLT3 pass unqualified. **DPY30 is an active subject in this corpus** — it is the WRAD-route half of the AKAP95 axis — so a reader arriving here gets a misleading verdict on a live target. The method and the joins below remain a correct record of what was run in cycle 9; the **verdicts** do not. --- Joins co-dependency strength with DepMap common-essentiality, gnomAD loss-of-function constraint and Human Protein Atlas tissue distribution for the ten genes that survived Holm correction in ana-depmap-bootstrap-ci. Triage rule declared before running. LEDGF/PSIP1 is the only strong co-dependency that clears every flag, and it does so with a better safety profile than menin itself.

Go deeper
The result1 deeper

This directly addresses the PI's stated requirement: disrupt the target without breaking an essential function, ideally by choosing a protein that is not essential 1.

Geneco-dep rtriagemean gene effectLOEUFreason
PSIP1 (LEDGF)0.69GREEN+0.030.37not excluded on either ground
FLT30.65GREEN-0.150.46not excluded on either ground
DPY300.45GREEN-0.390.73not excluded on either ground
KMT2A0.78AMBER-0.210.07strongest human constraint in the set
DOT1L0.68AMBER-0.150.29human constraint
MEN1anchorAMBER-0.360.20human constraint
MEF2C0.53AMBER-0.040.23human constraint
KAT70.52AMBER-0.300.21human constraint
MEIS10.47AMBER-0.050.21human constraint
BCL20.43AMBER-0.040.33human constraint
MLLT1 (ENL)0.43AMBER-0.010.33human constraint

Nothing came out RED, because the pan-essential genes had already been filtered out by the co-dependency step that produced this list.

The rule, declared before the data was fetched

RED if DepMap flags the gene common-essential, because there is then no therapeutic window to find. AMBER if human loss-of-function constraint is strong (LOEUF below 0.35) or the gene is broadly required across cell lines (mean gene effect below -0.5). GREEN if neither. UNKNOWN if any input is missing.

Green means not excluded on these grounds. It does not mean safe. Every gene here is "detected in all" tissues in the Human Protein Atlas, so none of them is tissue-restricted, and tissue restriction would have been the strongest possible safety signal.

LEDGF has a better safety profile than menin

This is the finding worth acting on. PSIP1/LEDGF is co-dependent with MEN1 at r = 0.69 in leukemia lines, yet its mean gene effect across 1,200 cell lines is +0.03, meaning cells on average do not need it at all, and its human constraint (LOEUF 0.37) sits above the threshold.

Compare menin itself: mean gene effect -0.36, LOEUF 0.20. Menin is the more constrained protein of the two and the more broadly required.

So on the two axes the PI asked about, the adaptor sitting immediately next to menin in the same tether looks like the better-positioned target, not a fallback. LEDGF is already established as the bridge that links menin to chromatin, so disrupting it should collapse the same tether.

This is a target-selection hypothesis from public data, not a result. The obvious objection is that a protein cells do not need in culture may still matter in a developing human, and LEDGF's role in HIV integration means it has been studied mostly in a different context. But it reframes a question the project had treated as settled: menin is the validated target, not necessarily the best one.

A bug in this analysis, and why it mattered

The first run called MEN1 green. The gnomAD lookup for MEN1 had failed transiently, the script recorded the constraint as missing, and the triage rule treated missing data as passing.

That is the wrong default for a safety screen in the most basic way: a tool that upgrades a target because a network call dropped is worse than no tool. MEN1's real LOEUF is 0.204, which puts it firmly in amber, and a second direct query confirmed it.

The rule now has an explicit UNKNOWN state and missing data can never produce a pass. This is the fifth identifier-or-data error caught in this project, and the second one in my own work rather than in the literature.

Limits

Three public datasets and a threshold rule cannot establish safety. LOEUF measures selection against heterozygous loss over evolutionary time, which is a poor proxy for tolerating partial pharmacological inhibition for months. DepMap mean gene effect is across adult cancer lines, not normal infant haematopoiesis, which is the tissue that matters here. Human Protein Atlas distribution at the whole-tissue level says nothing about the specific progenitor population at risk.

The thresholds (0.35 for LOEUF, -0.5 for gene effect) are conventional but arbitrary, and several genes sit close to them: BCL2 at 0.333 and MLLT1 at 0.330 are amber only just, and would be green under a 0.30 cut.

A fair critique of this analysis, from the phase-2 review

The phase-2 readiness review, run independently, reached the same conclusion about LEDGF but made a sharp objection to how this triage ranks: human loss-of-function constraint cannot rank this portfolio, and applied strictly it would have killed menin.

That objection is correct and worth stating plainly. Menin has a LOEUF of 0.204, which this rule flags amber, and yet menin is a clinically validated target with an approved drug and an acceptable short-term safety profile in children. If the metric disqualifies the one target the field has already de-risked, the metric is not measuring the thing we care about.

The reason is that constraint measures selection against germline heterozygous loss across a lifetime. A drug delivers partial, reversible occupancy for months. Those are different exposures, and a gene can be strongly constrained under the first while being perfectly tolerable under the second. Treat the constraint column here as a flag that invites a closer look, never as a filter.

The LEDGF conclusion survives the critique, because it does not rest on constraint. LEDGF's case is that its mean gene effect is +0.03 across 1,200 lines, meaning cells do not need it, while it is co-dependent with menin at 0.69 in leukemia. That is a dependency argument, not a constraint argument, and it is the stronger half of this analysis.

Correction: DPY30 should not have been GREEN

This triage put DPY30 in the green column. The interactome review shows that was wrong on two independent grounds, and both are failures of the rule rather than of the data.

The constraint value is underpowered. DPY30's LOEUF of 0.731 is what put it above the threshold, but DPY30 is a 99-residue protein. Loss-of-function constraint is estimated from the number of truncating variants observed against the number expected, and in a gene this small the expected count is tiny, so the confidence interval is enormous. A LOEUF near 0.73 in a 99-residue protein carries almost no information. My rule read it as though it did.

The biology contradicts it outright. Conditional knockout of Dpy30 in mouse haematopoiesis causes pancytopenia with a block in haematopoietic stem cell differentiation. That is precisely the toxicity this triage exists to detect, and it is exactly the tissue at risk in an infant with leukemia.

DPY30 is reclassified AMBER at best. More usefully, this exposes a structural flaw: the rule should not consume a constraint value without also consuming its uncertainty or the gene's length. A short gene will pass the LOEUF filter almost regardless of its biology.

Facts and figures
scriptanalyses/target-safety-triage/run.py
statusrun
run date2026-09-18
triage ruleRED = DepMap common-essential. AMBER = LOEUF<0.35 or mean gene effect<-0.5. GREEN = neither. UNKNOWN = any input missing; missing data never passes. Declared before running.
headlineLEDGF/PSIP1 clears every flag with a mean gene effect of +0.03, a better safety profile on these axes than menin itself (LOEUF 0.204, mean -0.36)
bug caughtFirst run reported MEN1 as GREEN because a transient gnomAD failure left its constraint missing and the rule treated missing as passing. Rule now has an explicit UNKNOWN state.
figureanalyses/target-safety-triage/results.md
green
DPY300.446DPY30: 0.446FLT30.645FLT3: 0.645PSIP10.686PSIP1: 0.686
amber
MLLT10.426MLLT1: 0.426BCL20.429BCL2: 0.429MEIS10.468MEIS1: 0.468KAT70.517KAT7: 0.517MEF2C0.526MEF2C: 0.526DOT1L0.681DOT1L: 0.681KMT2A0.783KMT2A: 0.783
green — the numbers behind the chart
[
  {
    "gene": "PSIP1",
    "codependency_r": 0.686,
    "mean_gene_effect": 0.029,
    "LOEUF": 0.373
  },
  {
    "gene": "FLT3",
    "codependency_r": 0.645,
    "mean_gene_effect": -0.145,
    "LOEUF": 0.4647
  },
  {
    "gene": "DPY30",
    "codependency_r": 0.446,
    "mean_gene_effect": -0.3898,
    "LOEUF": 0.731
  }
]
amber — the numbers behind the chart
[
  {
    "gene": "KMT2A",
    "codependency_r": 0.783,
    "LOEUF": 0.0704
  },
  {
    "gene": "DOT1L",
    "codependency_r": 0.681,
    "LOEUF": 0.2879
  },
  {
    "gene": "MEN1",
    "codependency_r": null,
    "LOEUF": 0.2042,
    "mean_gene_effect": -0.3616
  },
  {
    "gene": "MEF2C",
    "codependency_r": 0.526,
    "LOEUF": 0.2344
  },
  {
    "gene": "KAT7",
    "codependency_r": 0.517,
    "LOEUF": 0.2067
  },
  {
    "gene": "MEIS1",
    "codependency_r": 0.468,
    "LOEUF": 0.2071
  },
  {
    "gene": "BCL2",
    "codependency_r": 0.429,
    "LOEUF": 0.333
  },
  {
    "gene": "MLLT1",
    "codependency_r": 0.426,
    "LOEUF": 0.3304
  }
]
red
[]
How this could bite us back
  • A green flag from three public datasets is not a safety assessment, and treating it as one would be exactly the over-reading this graph is meant to prevent.
  • LEDGF has functions outside the menin tether, including in HIV integration targeting, so cell-line dispensability may understate organism-level consequences.
  • Every gene here is expressed in all tissues, so none offers the tissue-restriction safety margin that would most reduce risk.
  • Applied as a filter rather than a flag, the constraint column in this analysis would have rejected menin, the only target here with an approved drug. A ranking metric that fails on the known-good case should not be trusted on the unknowns.
  • The rule treats a constraint value from a 99-residue protein as equivalent to one from a 3,969-residue protein. It is not, and DPY30 passed on exactly that error.
Still open
  1. Are there other entries whose successor exists but is not linked from them? q174 found these by a version-suffix pattern (-v2, -full), which only catches successors that were NAMED as versions. A successor with an unrelated id is invisible to that search.
  2. Is the LEDGF-KMT2A interface chemically tractable at all? The safety profile is attractive but a protein-protein interface with no known chemical matter is a much harder starting point than a validated pocket.
  3. Does LEDGF's dispensability in cancer cell lines hold in normal human haematopoietic progenitors, which is the tissue that would actually be harmed?
  4. Would disrupting LEDGF rather than menin avoid the JUND liberation problem, since that appears to be a property of the menin pocket specifically?
  5. BCL2 and MLLT1 sit within 0.02 of the LOEUF threshold. Is a threshold rule the right instrument here, or should this be a continuous score?
  6. If loss-of-function constraint would have disqualified the one validated target in this field, what is the right instrument for ranking tolerability of partial reversible inhibition? Nothing in this graph currently answers that.
  7. The triage rule reads LOEUF as a point value. Short genes pass it almost automatically because their expected variant counts are tiny. Should the rule take gene length or the constraint confidence interval, and how many other calls would change if it did?
Every source behind this entry (2)
  1. E1moderate confidence 3 of 5: One strong study, or several smaller consistent ones.dataset

    Among the ten genes co-dependent with MEN1 in leukemia lines, PSIP1/LEDGF, FLT3 and DPY30 clear both the DepMap common-essentiality and gnomAD constraint filters, while MEN1 itself does not (LOEUF 0.204); PSIP1 has a mean DepMap gene effect of +0.03 against MEN1's -0.36.

    DepMap CRISPR gene effect via Open Targets, gnomAD GRCh38 loss-of-function constraint, and Human Protein Atlas RNA tissue distribution; joined analysis in analyses/target-safety-triage/ · Broad Institute DepMap; gnomAD; Human Protein Atlas; Open Targets Platform; analysis run by this project · Databases and derived analysis 2026
    What this evidence cannot show

    Our own computation with a threshold rule, not a validated safety assessment. LOEUF measures selection against heterozygous germline loss, a poor proxy for months of partial pharmacological inhibition. DepMap lines are adult cancers, not infant haematopoiesis. Several genes sit within 0.02 of the LOEUF threshold and would change category under a slightly different cut. DepMap release version not stated by the API.

    Evidence that argues against this (1)
    • LEDGF is required for HIV integration-site targeting and has roles beyond the menin tether, so a clean cell-line dependency score may understate the consequences of disrupting it in a whole organism. Shun MC et al. 2007
  2. E2established confidence 5 of 5: Multiple independent lines of evidence; treated as settled in the field.paper

    Menin bridges KMT2A to LEDGF/PSIP1, so LEDGF is part of the same chromatin tether and disrupting it should affect the same complex.

    What this evidence cannot show

    Establishes the physical relationship; does not address whether the LEDGF interface is chemically tractable, which is a separate and unanswered question.

    Evidence that argues against this (1)
    • Citing the mechanism as the reason a co-dependency is EXPECTED turns a prior into support. The analysis is only informative if it could have come out the other way, and the physical bridge does not in fact predict correlated gene effects across a panel: two proteins in one complex show co-dependency only when both are rate-limiting in the same lines, which is an empirical question the mechanism does not settle. "Should affect the same complex" is also a weaker claim than the triage needs: LEDGF is a broadly required chromatin adaptor with roles outside this complex, so disrupting it affects the complex AND much else. Oncofusion knowledge graph (internal analysis) 2026
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