Oncofusion

start / graph / ana-cxcr4-under-menin-inhibition-geo-reanalysis

Analysisspeculative confidence 1 of 5: Our own inference or analogy. Not shown to be true.Q33-niche-protein-layer

Planned: read CXCR4 and SYTL1 out of the menin-inhibitor transcriptomes that are already public, in the same contrast that shows HOXA9 and MEIS1 falling

also called CXCR4 menin inhibitor GEO re-analysis

The measurement needed to test whether menin-blocking drugs switch off the marrow hold-still receptor has already been made and uploaded by other laboratories. This is a plan to download it and look.

The same thing, for a scientist

A no-wet-work analysis that scores falsifier F3 of `hyp-cxcr4-function-is-a-hoxa-meis1-output-of-the-fusion`. Take deposited human transcriptomes with a menin-inhibitor arm in KMT2A-rearranged cells - GSE281506 is the confirmed candidate, 42 samples, human, expression profiling by high-throughput sequencing [E1] - verify the perturbation worked by requiring HOXA9 and MEIS1 log2 fold change below -1 at adjusted p < 0.05, then read out CXCR4 and SYTL1 in the identical contrast [E2, E3]. The analysis is worth doing because the corresponding literature is empty: zero papers name menin and CXCR4 together in a title or abstract [E4]. It is status PLANNED and nothing in this entry reports a result.

Go deeper
Design, and the two ways it can fail uninformatively

Design. (1) Resolve every GEO series matching revumenib, ziftomenib, VTP-50469, VTP50469, MI-503, SNDX-5613 or 'menin inhib*' whose organism is human and whose gdstype is expression profiling; retain those with a menin-inhibitor-alone arm in a KMT2A-rearranged background, confirmed from the SOFT family file rather than from the summary page. (2) For each, compute the drug-versus-vehicle contrast. (3) Positive control, and it is the point of the design: require HOXA9 and MEIS1 to fall with log2FC < -1 at adjusted p < 0.05. A series that fails this control is discarded, not reported - the perturbation is the instrument here, and an unvalidated instrument returns a zero that means nothing. (4) Read CXCR4 and SYTL1 in the same contrast. (5) Persist the resolved series ids, sample ids and per-gene statistics, not just the verdict.

Failure mode one: the wrong assay. If MEIS1 controls CXCR4 only through SYTL1-dependent trafficking, CXCR4 transcript can be flat while receptor availability falls. That is why SYTL1 is scored alongside and why a flat CXCR4 alone must not be reported as a negative.

Failure mode two: confounding by differentiation. Menin inhibition induces differentiation, and CXCR4 changes with differentiation state. A fall in CXCR4 is therefore consistent with the hypothesis and with a trivial alternative, which is why the hypothesis's F5 specificity control is a wet experiment and cannot be substituted by more re-analysis.

Facts and figures
scriptanalyses/cxcr4-under-menin-inhibition/run.py (NOT YET WRITTEN)
statusplanned
instrument controlA series is only analysed if HOXA9 and MEIS1 both fall with log2FC < -1 at adjusted p < 0.05 in the menin-inhibitor arm. A series failing that is discarded and NAMED in the output as discarded, with its ids, so the denominator is visible.
persistence requirementPersist the resolved GEO series ids, the sample ids in each arm, and the per-gene statistics - not the verdict alone. This project has a recorded case where a DepMap scan stored n_kmt2a_rearranged: 11 and not which lines, making every later line-level question unanswerable without re-running.
completeness guardRecord complete_run, name any series that failed to download or parse, and exit non-zero if any did. A partial fetch must suppress the verdict, not shrink it.
scores falsifierF3 of hyp-cxcr4-function-is-a-hoxa-meis1-output-of-the-fusion
result summaryNOT RUN. No result is reported in this entry and none should be quoted from it.
inputs
[
  "GEO db=gds, human, expression profiling, terms: revumenib, ziftomenib, VTP-50469, VTP50469, MI-503, SNDX-5613, 'menin inhib*'",
  "SOFT family files for series composition (not acc.cgi, not esummary alone)",
  "GSE281506 as the confirmed starting candidate"
]
readouts
[
  "HOXA9 log2FC and adjusted p (instrument control)",
  "MEIS1 log2FC and adjusted p (instrument control)",
  "CXCR4 log2FC and adjusted p (primary)",
  "SYTL1 log2FC and adjusted p (primary, trafficking route)"
]
How this could bite us back
  • A positive result here would be correlative and confounded by differentiation, and should not on its own be used to argue against adding a CXCR4 antagonist to a menin inhibitor in a trial design.
  • A flat CXCR4 would not be a clean negative, because the documented MEIS1 route to this axis is post-transcriptional.
Still open
  1. Does any deposited series carry a menin-inhibitor-alone arm in a B-LINEAGE KMT2A::AFF1 background, or is the public data entirely myeloid? If it is entirely myeloid the analysis answers a neighbouring question, not the index one, and must say so.
Every source behind this entry (4)
  1. E1strong confidence 4 of 5: Replicated in peer-reviewed work by more than one group.dataset

    GSE281506 exists and is a human expression-profiling-by-high-throughput-sequencing series of 42 samples titled 'Combining Menin and MEK inhibition to target poor prognosis KMT2A-rearranged RAS pathway-mutant acute myeloid leukemia'; a GEO db=gds query returns 88 records for 'revumenib' and 259 for 'menin inhibitor'.

    What this evidence cannot show

    Accession, gdstype, sample count, taxon and title read back by esummary on 2026-09-22; samples not inspected. The free-text GEO counts are loose upper bounds on relevance, not counts of usable series. Whether this particular series carries a menin-inhibitor-alone arm is unverified and is step 1 of the analysis.

    Evidence that argues against this (1)
    • GEO metadata has produced three independent false negatives for this project on a single SuperSeries, one of them a reCAPTCHA page that parsed cleanly as data. The SOFT family file is the authoritative route and the design specifies it for exactly this reason. NCBI Gene Expression Omnibus 2026
  2. E2strong confidence 4 of 5: Replicated in peer-reviewed work by more than one group.paper

    Menin-inhibitor monotherapy down-regulates HOXA9/MEIS1 in KMT2A-rearranged AML, which makes those two genes a usable in-data positive control for whether the perturbation worked in any given deposited series.

    What this evidence cannot show

    Myeloid KMT2A-rearranged AML (rule 73). The abstract does not give the magnitude of the HOXA9/MEIS1 fall, so the log2FC < -1 threshold in the design is a reasonable convention rather than a value taken from this paper, and a series failing it might have a real but smaller effect. The threshold should be reported alongside any result.

    Evidence that argues against this (1)
    • Using the drug's canonical targets as the control means a series in which menin inhibition worked through some other route would be discarded as a failed instrument. That is the conservative choice here, but it is a choice and it biases the analysis toward the textbook mechanism. Ling Q et al. 2023
  3. E3strong confidence 4 of 5: Replicated in peer-reviewed work by more than one group.paper

    SYTL1 must be read out alongside CXCR4 because MEIS1's documented route to CXCL12/CXCR4 signalling is transactivation of SYTL1, which controls CXCR4 intracellular trafficking rather than CXCR4 transcription.

    What this evidence cannot show

    Murine myeloid HOXA9/MEIS1 models, not a KMT2A fusion and not B-lineage (rule 73). Whether SYTL1 is a MEIS1 target in a human B-precursor KMT2A::AFF1 cell is itself unmeasured, so a flat SYTL1 in human data would be ambiguous between 'not a target here' and 'not moved by the drug'.

    Evidence that argues against this (1)
    • If SYTL1 turns out not to be MEIS1-dependent in human B-lineage cells, the analysis loses its second readout and reduces to a CXCR4 transcript measurement, which E3's own mechanism says may be the uninformative one. Yokoyama T et al. 2016
  4. E4strong confidence 4 of 5: Replicated in peer-reviewed work by more than one group.database

    The corresponding literature is empty: menin[tiab] AND CXCR4[tiab] returns 0 records with valid translation and an explicit 'No items found.', against operands of 1,264 and 17,210, with an identical-shape positive control (menin[tiab] AND HOXA9[tiab]) returning 33.

    What this evidence cannot show

    Bounded over titles and abstracts (rule 80); a CXCR4 row in a supplementary table is invisible to it, which is the reason this analysis exists rather than a reason to doubt the zero. Queried 2026-09-22.

    Evidence that argues against this (1)
    • An abstract-level zero cannot bound what is inside papers, and this project has a worked case where a clean bounded zero coexisted with the measurement sitting in a supporting figure of a paper already in the corpus. Van Vlierberghe P et al. 2008
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